My grandfather, the prophet

I was at my parents’ house recently, going through some of my grandfather’s memorobilia, and I came across some letters that he had written back in 1928-1929. He worked for the Journal Star (in one of its incarnations) most of his life, starting as a paperboy in the early 1920s and retiring in 1974 as their National Advertising Manager.

But when he was 19 years old, he took a job at Columbia Records in Seattle, Washington. During the year he worked there, he wrote home to his folks, and they kept his letters. One particularly interesting passage was this one, from a letter he wrote April 14, 1929, a little over a month before his 20th birthday:

I’m glad you got to see the show, Mother. Take Dad to one of the all-talkings sometime. I think he’ll like it. They are just like vaudeville. Mr. Kilgore is just like Dad. He doesn’t care for moving pictures. I’ll bet within ten years there won’t be any vaudeville shows. They will all be talking pictures. Even the big shows in Seattle are doing away with vaudeville.

And how right he was! I get a kick out of his prescience every time I read it. It’s also interesting to me that even though technologies change, people’s reactions remain the same. His dad was reluctant to embrace the new “talking pictures” technology. I remember hearing this same reluctance from some people when computers replaced typewriters and CDs replaced vinyl records. Pretty soon it will be iPods and egocasting replacing radio and IP-VOD replacing cable TV.

And somewhere, some 20-year-old will probably write an e-mail or instant message to his mom saying, “tell Dad to try these new IP-VOD movies — I bet within ten years there won’t be any cable TV….” But his grandkids will never read his wise words, because the technology on which it was written will be obsolete by then.

As long as we’re comparing….

Goebbels.jpgDurbin.jpg

Since Sen. Durbin has compared America’s treatment of prisoners with the Nazis’ treatment of prisoners, I think it’s only fitting that we compare Sen. Durbin’s propaganda to that of Nazi propagandist Josef Goebbels’.

Ridiculous, you say? Yes, but sadly, it’s no more ridiculous or reprehensible than Sen. Durbin’s comments. Senator, it’s time to stop defending yourself and apologize.

Update: Durbin said Friday: “I have learned from my statement that historical parallels can be misused and misunderstood. I sincerely regret if what I said caused anyone to misunderstand my true feelings: Our soldiers around the world and their families at home deserve our respect, admiration and total support.”

I just love defensive “apologies” that put the blame on others’ response instead of one’s inappropriate actions. So, let me get this straight, Mr. Durbin: when you said Gitmo was like a Nazi prison camp, you meant that in the most respectful, admirable way toward our troops, eh?

Unfortunately, this is the closest thing to an apology that we’ll get.

Wanna make big money? Make a G-rated film

I always heard that the reason there weren’t more family-friendly movies out there was because sex and violence sell and mamby-pamby G-rated flicks are big money losers.

But now there’s a new report out by the Dove Foundation called Profitability Study of MPAA-Rated Movies, and their findings are fascinating. I encourage you to click the link and check out the whole report (it’s only 12 pages), but here’s the bottom line:

While the movie industry produced nearly 12 times more R-rated films than G-rated from 1989 – 2003 (1,533 and 123 respectively), the average G-rated film produced 11 times greater profit than its R-rated counterpart ($78,982,000 and $6,939,000 respectively).

G-rated films also produced an average rate of return on investment (ROI) three times greater than R-rated films (94.5% vs. 28.7%).

Between 2000 and 2003, Hollywood produced nearly four times as many PG-13 films as PG (75 vs. 21). During that same time, the average PG film produced $33 million greater profit than a PG-13 film ($78.8 million vs. $45.6 million).

G-rated films were identified overall as most lucrative in all of the following categories:

-Net profit per film
-Theatrical box office per film
-Video revenue per film
-Rate of return per film

Films with a PG rating consistently report higher profits and rates of return than PG-13 and R-rated films.

So, it appears the conventional wisdom is off-target. If it’s all about the money, the theaters should be flooded with G- and PG-rated fare. So one wonders, why aren’t there more family-friendly movies?

The Day After

Hi everyone — sorry I haven’t been around lately. I just peeked out of my bomb shelter today after being holed up since last night’s council meeting. You can understand why. Listening to Chuck Grayeb talk about what would happen if the city didn’t buy the water company had me scared nearly to death. I was expecting the evil German IAWC troops to be at my door any minute, forcing filthy water down my family’s throats and robbing us of all our worldly possessions while the ICC looked on with approval. When the due diligence measure went down to defeat, I knew I had to act fast. I got all the bottled water I could find (Evian, bottled in France, ironically) and headed into the bunker. Surely, I thought, Armageddon was soon to start.

Imagine my surprise when I found out the sun still came out today! And, I’ll be darned if I didn’t hear birds singing. I looked out the window and there were even children playing! We were still able to wash our dishes and do our laundry just like always. Things didn’t seem to change at all, actually. How did this happen?

Okay, enough snide comments. I’m not celebrating much because I know it’s all coming up again (like a bad lunch) in a few short years. Water-buyout advocates won’t let this little setback stop them. Start preparing now for Water Buyout ’07.

Oil Dependence

There’s a series of articles in the Journal Star this week focusing on gas and oil prices. Yesterday’s was pretty good. It talked about the reasons oil prices are going up: increased demand due to China’s industrialization and America’s insatiable consumption, plus the lack of new oil drilling or other measures that could increase supply. It even explained “peak oil.”

One thing it failed to mention about consumption, however, is how city planning contributes to Americans’ need to drive everywhere. As I mentioned in a previous post, Peoria has grown from just over 13 square miles to about 44 square miles in the past fifty years, with very little population growth. If you look at how that new area is organized, you’ll find that it’s split up by type of zoning. For the most part, residential houses are grouped together, office parks are grouped together, and retail is set off by itself, with roads connecting all these pockets.

If you want to get anywhere, you have to drive. If you want to go to the store, it’s a five- to ten-minute drive. Doctor’s office — same thing. Heck, if you’re already at the Shoppes at Grand Prairie — let’s say you’re eating at Famous Dave’s — and you want to see a movie at Rave, you have to get in your car and drive across the parking lot!

If kids want to spend some of their allowance, can they just hop on their bikes and go to the mall? Not without taking their lives in their hands. Nope, Mom or Dad has to drive them. If elderly people who can’t drive anymore, but can walk just fine want to go out to a movie or something, can they get there without someone driving them? No.

Our city is not unique. Sprawl is the rule in America. And it’s a big reason why there’s so much consumption of gasoline. If cities were denser, with more mixed use, we could cut down on a lot of consumption. It’s not something that can be accomplished overnight, but there are steps that can be taken.

In Peoria, the Duany “Heart of Peoria” plan is an excellent example of what can be done to make city life less dependent on automobiles — or at least less dependent on long car rides to basic services like groceries.

Community Values: Prelude to PAC?

The community values recently adopted by the City Council is “modeled after an initiative in Fresno, Calif.,” according to the Journal Star. So I did some searching on the Internet to see if I could find out more about the Fresno initiative. There, the group who put together the values is called Fresno Citizens for Good Government (FCGG), and their values are strikingly similar to the ones adopted by Peoria. I guess we have a lot in common with Fresno. For instance, we both believe in the “art of the possible thinking” (*eyes roll*).

The FCGG’s missions statement is “to provide a powerful, non-partisan voice for citizens who wish to encourage our elected officials to exercise community stewardship in pursuit of solutions that are in the best interests of the totality of our community.” One of the ways they carry out their mission is through a political action committee called C-PAC. C-PAC endorses candidates for public office (council, school board, etc.) who adhere to the community values and raises funds to financially support such candidates. It appears that average Joes and the major newspaper in Fresno have bought into the community values enough that FCGG can bring political pressure to bear on candidates through these efforts; that is, being blackballed by the FCGG heaps a heavy load of negative publicity on your candidacy.

So, considering Peoria’s initiative is modeled on Fresno’s, is a similar PAC in our future from the Peoria Coalition of Concerned Citizens? And how will that affect Peoria politics? Is the adoption of seemingly innocuous community values a veiled and measured attempt to gain political power over time?

P.O. Polly

PollyPeoria is really ticked off at the pending appointment of George Jacob to the council’s vacant at-large seat.  Even though her rhetoric is heated, she makes some good points.  Jacob wouldn’t have even been eligible had a law not been repealed that prohibited liquor license holders from serving on city councils or county boards.  And the person apparently responsible for getting that legislation through is Rep. Leitch, who was the recipient of some campaign contributions from Jacob’s company, Brewers Distributing.  And, as soon as Blago signed the bill, Jacob was chosen in a straw vote in a closed session of the council.
 
It certainly has the appearance of impropriety.  Like they say, if it looks like a duck and quacks like a duck…. 
 
On the other hand, maybe this guy really is the best-qualified candidate, in which case one could see why our local officials would want to do whatever they could to take any unnecessary roadblocks out of the way for him.  I really don’t know the guy, so I’m inclined to withhold judgement until I see how he votes and how ethical his tenure is.  I personally would have preferred to see Pat Sullivan on the council — he was even willing to divest himself of his liquor license so all the Springfield finegling would have been unnecessary.
 
Note:  The Peoria Pundit has posted an interesting interview with Jacob.

Council wants your thoughts on cable TV

Councilman Turner wants the council to hear from you regarding cable television. The city’s franchise agreement with Insight is ending next year, and Turner thinks Insight’s service leaves something to be desired. Several other council members chimed in with concerns about everything from high prices to service responsiveness. So, the motion to hire an attorney to negotiate a new franchise agreement was amended: in addition to hiring the attorney, the council will hold neighborhood meetings to find out how the public feels about their cable service.

Councilman Morris brought up a good point, too — technology has changed dramatically in the past twenty years, and technological change isn’t getting any slower, so we probably shouldn’t renew for twenty more years. In fact, Randy Ray has already indicated he’s hoping for a shorter term. Morris also pointed out that Insight doesn’t just offer cable TV anymore, but also internet access and even phone service in some communities. How will a new franchise agreement affect these additional services, if at all?

Also, we know what the city wants to get out of a new agreement, but what does Insight want? I’m going to go out on a limb (ha ha) and guess a lower franchise fee. The city used to collect 10% of their (then GE Cablevision’s) adjusted gross revenue until the FCC decreed in April 1981 that franchise authorities couldn’t collect more than 5%. The franchise fee now is still 5% of Insight’s adjusted gross revenue, payable monthly. Back in 1986, they (UA Cablesystems at that time) tried to get Peoria County to agree to a 3% rate, but the County told them if they wouldn’t give them the same 5% they gave the city, they could remove their equipment and get the heck out of town. So UA backed down and passed the higher cost on to the subscribers.

My guess is they will argue that they face increased competition from satellite providers like Dish Network who don’t have to pay local fees, and need to have the franchise fee lowered so they can keep their prices competitive. I expect they’ll ask for 3% or less.

I’ll look forward to hearing the public input. What’s important to you? How do you feel about Insight’s service? What do you think needs to be included in the next franchise agreement?

* * * * * * * * * * * *

And now for a little history, for those who might be interested:

Peoria has only negotiated two cable franchise agreements. The first one was awarded in 1966 to General Electric (GE) Cablevision for twenty years. At that time, cable television was a hotly debated topic locally and nationally. Broadcast stations didn’t like it, worrying that bringing in stations from other cities would draw viewers away and hurt their ad revenue. The FCC muddled through all kinds of different regulations, worried that pay TV would “siphon off all the good programming from free TV.” Thus, even though the franchise was awarded in 1966, GE didn’t start offering cable television until 1972 because, until then, the FCC prohibited cable companies from piping in channels from other cities (e.g., Chicago). GE figured people wouldn’t pay for exactly the same stations they can get for free over the air, so they waited until they could offer extra channels like WGN.

The franchise agreement was transferred from GE to UA Cablesystems. They renewed in 1986 — that’s the second and last franchise agreement Peoria negotiated. I got a copy of it through a Freedom of Information Act request, and I converted it to digital form — as long as you have Adobe Acrobat Reader ver. 5.0 or greater, you can read it here. What do you think? Are they living up to their agreement?

The agreement is somewhat entertaining to me, just because of how much times have changed since 1986. Consider, for instance, what you remember about 1986. I was a sophomore in high school then, and not many people had personal computers compared to today. It was the year of the Challenger disaster, as well as the Chernobyl nuclear disaster. Reagan was president. We were watching Ferris Bueler’s Day Off and Family Ties while listening to Take On Me by A-ha on KZ-93. The cable franchise agreement looks like it was typed up on a typewriter instead of a computer (it probably was). At that time, the city wanted the cable system to have a capacity of a whopping thirty channels initially — and they wrote in the agreement that they wanted it upgraded to 52 channels after ten years.

In September 1986, UA Cablesystems was bought out by Tele-Communications, Inc. (TCI). It was TCI Cable for about twelve years. Then in October 1998, TCI merged with AT&T Consumer Services (ACS). But, it wasn’t long before the franchise was transferred to Insight (December 2000). Insight is now the ninth largest cable operation in the U.S., with 1.3 million subscribers in Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, and Ohio. They brought in over $269 million in the first quarter of 2005. Their home office is in New York.

So they have ample capital for waging war on franchise agreements. Galesburg also uses Insight for their cable provider. If this article from The Zephyr is at all accurate in describing their negotiations (I have no way of verifying it, so I can’t vouch for it), then Randy Ray and his new cable attorney better be on their toes whenever the contract comes back from New York with revisions.

Peoria’s cable TV franchise renewal is coming up — how is Insight doing?

I noticed that one of the items on the agenda for tomorrow night’s council meeting is a request to hire an attorney to negotiate a new cable franchise agreement. I learned from CableFAX’s Cable World website how Insight is positioning itself for the renewal process:

Insight presents its customer service improvements–as well as details of its rebuilt cable plant and new service–as proof to city officials that it is living up to the commitments in its franchise agreement, which is coming up for renewal in 2006. Randy Ray, the Peoria city attorney who handles the franchise renewal negotiations, says it’s too early to tell if there are any demands the city might have. He is looking for more input from the community in city council meetings leading up to the negotiations. He expects the franchise term will be shorter than the 20-year agreement that expires at the end of this year. “This is the city’s first opportunity to even really look at this,” Ray says.
Relations between Insight and the city of Peoria are “relatively trouble free,” he says. “I hesitate to comment on plant or any other infrastructure issues because…we haven’t really addressed them yet. But I know when I go home and turn my TV on, I have cable.”
Kim Sheetz, Insight’s Peoria district community and public affairs manager, is gearing up for several other franchise renewal meetings this year in communities outside of Peoria proper. She’s not expecting to field angry demands at any of the meetings.
“With all the advanced services, they are pretty willing to agree to new franchises,” Sheetz says.


Specifically, Peoria’s franchise agreement with Insight expires April 15, 2006. The article doesn’t say how short Ray would like the new franchise agreement to be, but Galesburg’s most recent franchise renewal with Insight in May 2002 was for only five years. One fee in particular the city would like to avoid is mentioned in the request for council action: The city currently pays $32,000 per year to broadcast the city council meetings on Insight’s public access channel. In the new franchise agreement, the city wants to eliminate that fee.

I wonder what else could be included in the franchise agreement that would benefit Peoria.

Back in February of this year, the FCC rejected proposals that would have required cable companies to provide (a) enough space for broadcast stations’ analog and digital channels during the transition to digital television (“dual must-carry”), and (b) enough space for multiple signals from each broadcaster (“multi-cast must-carry”). Could or should the new franchise agreement in Peoria require dual or multi-cast must-carry provisions?

What about television decency? Could or should there be a provision in the new franchise agreement that the cable company provide a family-friendly package lineup for basic cable subscribers?

One of the provisions in the city’s municipal code calls for public, educational, and governmental access channels, and that these channels be “available for all forms of public expression, community information and debate of public issues.” They also are required to provide facilities for producing public access programs. Should the new agreement include a requirement that sound and video be upgraded in these facilities? Public access programs have notoriously poor sound and video quality.

Another provision in the city’s municipal code allows the city to buy the cable company and own/operate it itself. Since the city is trying to get into the water business, should the city try to get into the cable broadcasting business, too, for the sake of saving Peorians money and having another revenue stream? (Okay, that question was tongue-in-cheek, if you couldn’t tell.)

According to the Cable World article, Randy Ray is “looking for more input from the community” regarding the new franchise agreement. So, what do you all think? Let me know and I’ll pass your serious comments on to Mr. Ray.

Community Values on council agenda

On the agenda for Tuesday’s City Council meeting is a request from the city manager and councilman Morris to adopt the following set of values compiled by the Peoria Coalition for Community Values (“a group of approximately sixty individuals in the community” who have “assumed leadership for this initiative”):
WHAT WE VALUE AS A COMMUNITY
March l, 2005
 
Children and Families
All members of the community are valuable. However, we recognize the vulnerability of children, the elderly, and the disadvantaged. Because we recognize children and families as a critical core of our community, their interests will be one of the defining criteria in all of our decision making.
 
Personal and Shared Responsibility
We will promote personal responsibility for ourselves, our families, our homes and neighborhoods, and our government and laws. We expect the same from all other community members and will partner with one another to share community responsibility in a manner that recognizes and rewards meritorious conduct and service.
 
Learning and Empowerment
We will invest in every person in order to help them realize their dreams and achieve personal success. We will promote lifelong learning, innovation, and use of current technology. We will establish a climate favorable to ethical business formation and growth, formation of new businesses, and meaningful employment opportunities.
 
Conflict Resolution and Reconciliation
Healthy conflict stimulates diverse thinking and creative resolution of problems; and reconciliation will bring healing and an opportunity to develop healthy relationships. Therefore, we will not necessarily avoid conflict, but we are committed to working through conflict in a positive manner despite its severity and to persevere toward just reconciliation regardless of our differences.
 
Respect
We value respect based on intentional appreciation, personal and corporate integrity, civil discourse, kindness, and understanding differences. We will practice respect in all of our dealings, employing open, honest, complete and civil communications.
 
Fostering and Supporting Good Leadership
We will encourage people to become involved in the community, seek to grow new leaders, and support leaders who are good stewards of our community values and assets.
 
Fact-based decision-making
We will base decisions and action plans on objective data and truth, thereby avoiding distortion of issues by personal feelings or agendas.
 
Art of the Possible Thinking
We believe in the unlimited potential of the Greater Peoria area. We will envision “success without limitations”, and then map specific, attainable strategies for achieving progress toward that vision.
 
Relational Community
We will create an inclusive, cohesive community through partnership and collaboration. We are willing to cross political, social, ethnic, economic, religious, and cultural boundaries to partner with others in order to achieve superior outcomes.
 
Accountability
We are accountable to our community for achieving specific outcomes and for the manner in which they are accomplished.
Some of these are good (“respect,” “accountability”), and some are just silly (“art of the possible thinking” *eyes roll*).  I personally think they could have saved themselves a lot of time by just adopting the Scout Law (trustworthy, loyal, helpful, friendly, courteous, kind, obedient, cheerful, thrifty, brave, clean, and reverent).  Peoria could benefit from the “thrifty” and “clean” parts especially. 
 
But all in all, I think the Request for Council Action form sums up this proposal best: 
Impact if approved:  N/A
Impact if denied:  N/A